Journal article
Greater probability of extreme precipitation under 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming limits over East-Central Asia
M Zhang, H Yu, AD King, Y Wei, J Huang, Y Ren
Climatic Change: an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change | Springer (part of Springer Nature) | Published : 2020
Abstract
East-Central Asia is one of the most vulnerable and sensitive regions to climate change, and the variability of extreme precipitation attracts great attention due to the large population and the importance of its economy. Here, three special runs with the Community Earth System Model (CESM) are used to project the changes in representative extreme precipitation indices (Rx1day, Rx5day, R95p, SDII) over East-Central Asia under the 1.5 °C and 2 °C Paris Agreement limits. The results indicate that Rx1day and Rx5day will increase by 28% and 15%, respectively, under the 1.5 °C warming level relative to the historical period (1971–2000). Most areas over East-Central Asia are projected to experienc..
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Grants
Awarded by National Center for Atmospheric Research
Funding Acknowledgements
This work was jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41705077 and 41630426) and the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2017YFC1502305). ADK was funded by the Australian Research Council (DE180100638). The authors acknowledge the NCAR for releasing the CESM low-warming experiment products and the data were acquired from http://www.cesm.ucar.edu/experiments/1.5-2.0-targets.html.The authors thank the two anonymous reviewers for their valuable suggestions.